|American Turf - Horses to Watch|
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RULES OF PLAY: In our opinion, each horse listed below (and
newsletter) has a reasonable chance to win or run well
for second. If there are two recommended horses running in the same race, play
both to win and place and in the exacta
and/or quinella. We suggest giving precedence to a selection in a more recent
report or, if you like, play the horse with
the higher odds.
NOTE: Our recommendations have a life of one month, so you
print this page to keep for your handicapping. If,
however, you find there are too many horses to watch simply discard the oldest
issue in the one-month cycle. Horses
switching tracks remain plays, and sometimes become our best plays as shrewd
trainers place fit horses in excellent spots
on other circuits, so keep an eye out in these instances. Good luck and always
bear in mind: Play with your head, not over
Friday, March 6
JIMMY SOUL: Lived up to favored billing to score on the front end on jump up to starter allowance level in first start for trainer H. Hollahan following claim/freshening; right back for another.
PISTORIA: Has shown some needed life in recent starts, and gained from eighth and through traffic to manage second in her latest; solid veteran mare has been in the exacta in 11 of 27 tries.
PLYMOUTH SQUARE: Tried to move very wide and gain after racing last of six behind a slow early tempo and had to ultimately settle for fourth in his latest; proven veteran gets another shot.
TO COMMERCIAL: Shot clear on the front end and gave out when it counted to finish third in her latest; speed always makes her a player in similar company.
VAULTED HEART: Has been overmatched in each of his last two following blowout score three starts back; chased dominant winner in latest, and can get back on track with slight class drop.
4*SPECIAL: WARREN'S CLIFF S.: Chased and weakened when it counted to finish fifth in his latest, but didn't miss second money by much given margin of dominant winner; another chance for solid S. Lake barn.
LONGSHOT: RUGBY ROAD: Gained from very far back with wide run for fourth in his return from two-month break; note, F. Waters barn showed confidence in protecting him at $25k-tag level, so stay tuned.
DANDY DEAL: Gave a belated run for fourth in her latest, but recent form seems headed in the right direction; needs pace/race luck to set up late run, but should offer value and fits in the mix at current level.
GHOST ON THE RUN: Couldn't overcome slow break and didn't gain when fourth on stretch to one mile in her latest; prior third-place finish when in from GP makes her worth following another time.
GOGO JOJO: Settled for a distant third after she lunged at the break when up in class and in search of repeat score most recently; another try for K. McGowan trainee (16% wins last year).
KATY LIED: Couldn't close the deal when in range in the lane and settled for third of five in her latest, but 8YO mare was making her first start since late-December; set now.
MUSICAL SCORE: Rebounded from eighth-place finish when ambitiously placed at stakes level two starts back and finished second, beaten only a head, back with maidens in latest; diploma awaits.
NAPA VALLEY (BRZ): Didn't have much of a chance off latest trip ("bumped start, eight path quarter-pole") and raced in fairly even order to be seventh; can do more.
SPOONFULOFSUGAR: Raced in traffic and could only mount even finish thereafter when third in her latest trying to gain into slow early tempo; primed for breakout now.
SWAYLON BRAYLON: Has regained his better form over the course of his last couple of starts, most recently putting in a game run for second; next time.
WHOLE LOTTA RUN: Chased wide and weakened to finish a distant fourth behind dominant winner when in from GG for his local debut; improves for L. Smith barn (26% wins last year).
4*SPECIAL: MARTHA ROSE: Chased from the outside and weakened to finish third behind blowout winner when making just her second lifetime start off good winning debut; lightly raced 4YO with upside.
LONGSHOT: LORD UNBRIDLED: Put in a wide bid and flattened out a bit, but did manage fourth of 11 in his latest; can still offer value in upcoming third start of current form cycle.